{"id":1268,"date":"2026-05-11T09:42:07","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T01:42:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mooda.com.cn\/?page_id=1268"},"modified":"2026-05-11T09:42:07","modified_gmt":"2026-05-11T01:42:07","slug":"%e3%80%8a%e7%bb%84%e7%bb%87%e7%a4%be%e4%bc%9a%e5%bf%83%e7%90%86%e5%ad%a6%e3%80%8b%e5%ad%a6%e4%b9%a0%e7%ac%94%e8%ae%b0-003","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/mooda.com.cn\/?page_id=1268","title":{"rendered":"\u300a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u793e\u4f1a\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u300b\u5b66\u4e60\u7b14\u8bb0 003"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u63a5\u4e0a\u671f\uff1a\u300a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u793e\u4f1a\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u300b\u5b66\u4e60\u7b14\u8bb0 002<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u539f\u6587\uff1a\u201cIf the national Hockey League has been wondering why it cannot keep expanding indiscriminately, the final round of the Stanley Cup playoffs between the Buffalo Sabers and the Philadelphia Flyers may have provided one big reason: fog\u2026. Last night the temperature was about 76 degrees at game time, but near the 90 mark inside the rink. For the last 33 minutes, including 18 \u00bd minutes of overtime, the contest was halted 12 times by referee Lloyd Gilmour when the Clouds of steam made it impossible to see the puck\u2026 Rene Roberts of Buffalo burst out of one fogbank in sudden death to tally the gamewinning goal\u201d (Keese 1975)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53c2\u8003\u8bd1\u6587\uff1a\u201c\u5982\u679c\u56fd\u5bb6\u51b0\u7403\u8054\u76df\uff08NHL\uff09\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u7eb3\u95f7\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e0d\u80fd\u65e0\u9650\u5236\u5730\u6269\u5f20\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5e03\u6cd5\u7f57\u519b\u5200\u961f\u4e0e\u8d39\u57ce\u98de\u884c\u8005\u961f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u65af\u5766\u5229\u676f\u603b\u51b3\u8d5b\u53ef\u80fd\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u539f\u56e0\uff1a\u5927\u96fe\u2026\u2026\u6628\u665a\u6bd4\u8d5b\u5f00\u59cb\u65f6\u6c14\u6e29\u7ea6\u4e3a76\u534e\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f46\u51b0\u573a\u5185\u5374\u63a5\u8fd190\u534e\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff08\u7ea632\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff09\u3002\u5728\u6700\u540e\u768433\u5206\u949f\u91cc\uff0c\u5305\u62ec18\u00bd\u5206\u949f\u7684\u52a0\u65f6\u8d5b\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6c34\u6c7d\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u6d53\u96fe\u5bfc\u81f4\u5b8c\u5168\u770b\u4e0d\u6e05\u51b0\u7403\uff0c\u88c1\u5224\u52b3\u57c3\u5fb7\u00b7\u5409\u5c14\u6469\u66fe12\u6b21\u53eb\u505c\u6bd4\u8d5b\u2026\u2026\u5728\u7a81\u7136\u6b7b\u4ea1\u52a0\u65f6\u8d5b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5e03\u6cd5\u7f57\u961f\u7684\u96f7\u5185\u00b7\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u7a81\u7136\u4ece\u4e00\u7247\u96fe\u56e2\u4e2d\u51b2\u51fa\uff0c\u5c04\u5165\u4e86\u5236\u80dc\u4e00\u7403\u3002\u201d\uff08\u57fa\u65af 1975\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\u56fe\u7247\u7531AI\u751f\u6210<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udccc \u5b66\u4e60\u7b14\u8bb0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Weick\u5f15\u7528\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6781\u7aef\u7684\u4f53\u80b2\u6848\u4f8b\uff0c\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5c55\u793a\u73af\u5883\uff08Environment\uff09\u4e0e\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5316\uff08Organizing\uff09\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \u73af\u5883\u662f\u201c\u5165\u6cd5\u201d\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\uff1aWeick\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u5e94\u4ed8\u4e00\u4e2a\u5ba2\u89c2\u7ed9\u5b9a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u6bd4\u8d5b\u4e2d\uff0c\u8054\u76df\u7684\u201c\u65e0\u8282\u5236\u6269\u5f20\u201d\u548c\u573a\u9986\u7684\u7b80\u964b\u6761\u4ef6\u5171\u540c\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u201c\u5927\u96fe\u73af\u5883\u201d\u3002\u6b63\u662f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c\u8ba9\u81ea\u5df1\u9677\u5165\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u65e0\u6cd5\u770b\u6e05\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u5883\u5730\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \u5728\u6b67\u4e49\u4e2d\u884c\u52a8\uff1a\u201c\u5927\u96fe\u201d\u662f\u6b67\u4e49\u6027\u7684\u7ec8\u6781\u9690\u55bb\u2014\u2014\u7531\u4e8e\u770b\u4e0d\u89c1\u7403\uff0c\u539f\u672c\u660e\u786e\u7684\u51b0\u7403\u89c4\u5219\u53d8\u5f97\u6a21\u7cca\u4e0d\u6e05\u3002\u4f46\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5316\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u505c\u6b62\uff1a\u88c1\u5224\u4e0d\u65ad\u53eb\u505c\u3001\u7403\u5458\u5728\u96fe\u4e2d\u7a7f\u68ad\u3002\u6700\u7ec8\uff0c\u96f7\u5185\u00b7\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u901a\u8fc7\u4e00\u6b21\u679c\u65ad\u7684\u884c\u52a8\uff08\u5c04\u95e8\uff09\u7ec8\u7ed3\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u6a21\u7cca\u72b6\u6001\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \u884c\u52a8\u5148\u4e8e\u8ba4\u77e5\uff1a\u5728\u90a3\u79cd\u5927\u96fe\u4e2d\uff0c\u7403\u5458\u6839\u672c\u65e0\u6cd5\u770b\u6e05\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u505a\u6253\u7b97\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ea\u80fd\u4e0d\u65ad\u6ed1\u884c\u3001\u5c1d\u8bd5\u3002\u6700\u540e\u90a3\u4e2a\u5236\u80dc\u7403\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86Weick\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\uff1a\u4e0e\u5176\u5750\u7b49\u770b\u6e05\u73b0\u5b9e\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u901a\u8fc7\u884c\u52a8\u53bb\u521b\u9020\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ed3\u679c\u5c31\u6210\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    Weick\u6b63\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u770b\u4f3c\u4e0d\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u201c\u602a\u8c08\u201d\uff0c\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u6df7\u4e71\u3001\u5927\u96fe\u548c\u75db\u82e6\u4e2d\u5f3a\u884c\u62fc\u63a5\u51fa\u610f\u4e49\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n

    \u539f\u6587\uff1a\u201cComputer simulations (of organizations) have a propensity for luring researchers into Bonino\u2019s paradox – the more realistic and detailed one\u2019s model, the more the model resembles the modeled organization, including resemblance in the directions of incomprehensibility and indescribability\u201d (Starbuck 1976, p. 1101)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \u53c2\u8003\u8bd1\u6587\uff1a\u201c\uff08\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\uff09\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u6a21\u62df\u5f80\u5f80\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u79cd\u503e\u5411\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u5c06\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8bf1\u5165\u2018\u535a\u5c3c\u5c3c\u6096\u8bba\u2019\uff08Bonini\u2019s paradox\uff09\u4e4b\u4e2d\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u6784\u5efa\u5f97\u8d8a\u771f\u5b9e\u3001\u8d8a\u7cbe\u7ec6\uff0c\u5b83\u5c31\u8d8a\u50cf\u88ab\u6a21\u62df\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u2018\u6666\u6da9\u96be\u61c2\u2019\u548c\u2018\u65e0\u6cd5\u63cf\u8ff0\u2019\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u7279\u8d28\u4e0a\u4e5f\u4e0e\u5176\u5982\u51fa\u4e00\u8f99\u3002\u201d\uff08\u65af\u5854\u5df4\u514b 1976\uff0c\u7b2c 1101 \u9875\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n

    \n
    \"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

    \u56fe\u7247\u7531AI\u751f\u6210<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \ud83d\udccc \u5b66\u4e60\u7b14\u8bb0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Weick\u5f15\u7528\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6096\u8bba\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u53cd\u601d\u6211\u4eec\u7406\u89e3\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    1. \u7b80\u5316\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\uff1a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5316\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u672c\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u901a\u8fc7\u201c\u8bed\u6cd5\u201d\u6765\u51cf\u5c11\u6b67\u4e49\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8bd5\u56fe\u6355\u6349\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec6\u8282\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u5c31\u4f1a\u53d8\u5f97\u548c\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e00\u6837\u6df7\u4e71\u3002\u8fd9\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u7406\u89e3\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u5173\u952e\u4e0d\u5728\u4e8e\u201c\u590d\u5236\u590d\u6742\u6027\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e8e\u201c\u63d0\u53d6\u6838\u5fc3\u7279\u5f81\u201d\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    2. \u201c\u6709\u7528\u201d\u80dc\u8fc7\u201c\u771f\u5b9e\u201d\uff1aWeick\u63a8\u5d07\u7684\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u80fd\u5f15\u5bfc\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u56fe\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684\u590d\u523b\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u535a\u5c3c\u5c3c\u6096\u8bba\u6240\u63ed\u793a\u7684\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u62e5\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u548c\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e00\u6a21\u4e00\u6837\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4f60\u867d\u7136\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u201c\u771f\u5b9e\u201d\uff0c\u5374\u5931\u53bb\u4e86\u201c\u89e3\u91ca\u529b\u201d\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    3. \u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u4e0d\u53ef\u63cf\u8ff0\u6027\uff1a\u8fd9\u4e5f\u547c\u5e94\u4e86Weick\u5bf9\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u2014\u2014\u7ec4\u7ec7\u662f\u52a8\u6001\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u5e8f\u5217\u3002\u5f53\u4f60\u8bd5\u56fe\u628a\u5b83\u56fa\u5b9a\u5728\u7cbe\u7ec6\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u91cc\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u90a3\u79cd\u9c9c\u6d3b\u7684\u3001\u4e0d\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u53cd\u800c\u6d88\u5931\u4e86\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

      \u81f3\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd910\u4e2a\u7247\u6bb5\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b8c\u6574\u5730\u62fc\u51d1\u51fa\u4e86\u9b4f\u514b\u5bf9\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u201c\u611f\u609f\u201d\uff1a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e0d\u662f\u51b0\u51b7\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5145\u6ee1\u4e86\u8b66\u5bdf\u7684\u673a\u667a\u3001\u6307\u6325\u5bb6\u7684\u70ed\u8840\u3001\u88c1\u5224\u7684\u65ad\u8a00\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u5927\u96fe\u4e2d\u4e0d\u65ad\u6478\u7d22\u7684\u3001\u5145\u6ee1\u6b67\u4e49\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n\n\n\n

      \u539f\u6587\uff1aAll ten of those episodes illustrate organizing, which is defined as a consensually validated grammar for reducing equivocality by means of sensible interlocked behaviors. To organize is assemble ongoing interdependent actions into sensible sequences that generate sensible outcomes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \u53c2\u8003\u8bd1\u6587\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u5341\u4e2a\u7247\u6bb5\u90fd\u8bf4\u660e\u4e86\u2018\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5316\u2019\uff08Organizing\uff09\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002\u6240\u8c13\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5316\uff0c\u88ab\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\u4e00\u5957\u7ecf\u5171\u8bc6\u9a8c\u8bc1\u7684\u2018\u8bed\u6cd5\u2019\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u7406\u6027\u7684\u8054\u52a8\u884c\u4e3a\u6765\u51cf\u5c11\u2018\u6b67\u4e49\u6027\u2019\u3002\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5316\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u3001\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u7ec4\u5408\u6210\u6709\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4ea7\u751f\u6709\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \ud83d\udccc \u5b66\u4e60\u7b14\u8bb0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \u8fd9\u5341\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u5171\u540c\u652f\u6491\u8d77\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u903b\u8f91\uff1a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5316\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u662f\u201c\u901a\u8fc7\u4e92\u52a8\u51cf\u5c11\u73af\u5883\u7684\u6b67\u4e49\u6027\u201d\u3002\u603b\u7ed3\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      1. \u5e94\u5bf9\u201c\u6b67\u4e49\u6027\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n